Bitcoin failed to react at the March 6 Wall Street open as consensus formed around a potential violation of $20,000.
$19,000 BTC price is “breakdown target”
Motionless throughout the weekend, the pair offered few trading opportunities as concerns built up over the impact of forthcoming macroeconomic data from the United States.
Specifically, the February print of the Consumer Price Index (CPI), due March 14, is expected to be “hot,” or above expectations, analyst Venturefounder said.
“New Bitcoin higher low, and the bearish RSI divergence continues,” he wrote in a Twitter update on the day.
“With a hot CPI number coming and FOMC meeting later this month, March could be a bad month for risk-on assets including BTC. A breakdown from this level would target $19k BTC.”
An accompanying chart laid out the potential path to below $20,000 and also highlighted the bearish divergence in Bitcoin’s relative strength index (RSI), formed when the metric’s trajectory runs in the opposite direction to price — downward versus upward, respectively.
CPI prints tend to spark short-term volatility across risk assets, this nonetheless often short lived, with the Bitcoin spot price then returning to previous levels.
Continuing, popular trader Crypto Ed likewise voiced belief in $19,000 marking the next local BTC price floor.
“Biggest bulltrap ever, but the bottom is in. Enjoy the coming months and don’t get fooled on the lower TF’s!” part of Twitter commentary read.
U.S. dollar lines up key test
Turning to macro markets, trading resource Game of Trades drew attention to what it called “heavy resistance” on U.S. dollar strength.
Traditionally inversely correlated with Bitcoin, the U.S. dollar index (DXY) now faced a key trend line retest.
“DXY is closing in on a heavy resistance zone after reclaiming the macro uptrend line,” Game of Trades wrote.
“Reaction here will be pivotal for all markets.”
Popular trader Crypto Chase meanwhile saw a tight trading range in place on the S&P 500, mimicking the lack of momentum on Bitcoin.
Attention was already on the March 7 appearance before the U.S. Congress by Jerome Powell, Chair of the Federal Reserve, for cues on the monetary conditions going forward.